Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.076831 0.082264 0.087917 0.094245 0.101142 0.108438 0.116756
2025-11-16 0.064703 0.072457 0.080983 0.091087 0.102781 0.115944 0.131960
2025-11-23 0.056789 0.065826 0.076194 0.089047 0.104663 0.123159 0.146932
2025-11-30 0.052281 0.062350 0.074317 0.089728 0.109247 0.133416 0.166034
2025-12-07 0.047313 0.057712 0.070427 0.087311 0.109437 0.137865 0.177844
2025-12-14 0.042728 0.053096 0.066072 0.083751 0.107595 0.139212 0.185292
2025-12-21 0.039784 0.050295 0.063741 0.082507 0.108521 0.144072 0.197718
2025-12-28 0.038153 0.049050 0.063287 0.083637 0.112624 0.153466 0.217314
2026-01-04 0.036549 0.047702 0.062559 0.084262 0.115962 0.161910 0.236177
2026-01-11 0.034688 0.045874 0.061029 0.083594 0.117298 0.167410 0.250896
2026-01-18 0.033146 0.044384 0.059855 0.083317 0.119119 0.173683 0.267325
2026-01-25 0.031405 0.042512 0.058018 0.081914 0.119079 0.176982 0.279055
2026-02-01 0.029438 0.040255 0.055554 0.079491 0.117394 0.177700 0.286782
2026-02-08 0.027888 0.038529 0.053783 0.078022 0.117124 0.180713 0.298888
2026-02-15 0.026501 0.036974 0.052178 0.076702 0.116975 0.183876 0.311553
2026-02-22 0.025754 0.036322 0.051880 0.077395 0.120145 0.192883 0.335961
2026-03-01 0.024395 0.034684 0.049995 0.075419 0.118672 0.193627 0.344557
2026-03-08 0.022893 0.032767 0.047588 0.072455 0.115301 0.190701 0.345556
2026-03-15 0.021946 0.031660 0.046392 0.071418 0.115197 0.193676 0.358756
2026-03-22 0.021511 0.031324 0.046391 0.072366 0.118641 0.203470 0.387197
2026-03-29 0.021009 0.030858 0.046155 0.072890 0.121340 0.212053 0.414076
2026-04-05 0.020308 0.030048 0.045321 0.072331 0.122001 0.216709 0.432813
2026-04-12 0.019714 0.029385 0.044698 0.072099 0.123244 0.222597 0.455041